One of the biggest mistakes investors make is assuming that every insider purchase deserves the same level of attention.

It doesn't.

Every week, Canadian insiders file dozens of trading reports. Some represent little more than symbolic purchases. Others have historically preceded some of the biggest winners in the microcap market.

The challenge isn't finding insider buying—it's separating the meaningful signals from the noise.

Over the years, I've developed a simple framework for evaluating insider activity. While no single factor guarantees future returns, companies that score highly across multiple categories deserve a closer look.

Signal #1: Who Is Buying?

Weight: 25 Points

The identity of the buyer is the single most important factor.

Score

25 Points

  • Founder

  • Founder-CEO

  • Executive Chairman

20 Points

  • CEO

  • President

15 Points

  • CFO

  • COO

10 Points

  • Senior Vice President

5 Points

  • Independent Director

Founders consistently produce the strongest signals because they generally understand the business better than anyone else and already have substantial financial exposure.

When founders continue buying despite already owning millions of dollars worth of stock, investors should pay attention.

Signal #2: Was It an Open-Market Purchase?

Weight: 20 Points

This criterion is simple.

20 Points

  • Open-market purchase

0 Points

  • Option exercise

  • RSU vesting

  • Share grant

  • Deferred Share Unit

  • Bonus shares

Only voluntary purchases deserve full credit.

Buying shares with after-tax dollars demonstrates conviction.

Receiving shares as compensation does not.

Signal #3: How Meaningful Was the Purchase?

Weight: 15 Points

The absolute dollar amount matters far less than the purchase's significance to the insider.

Score

15 Points Purchase exceeds annual salary or appears financially meaningful.

10 Points Large purchase relative to previous insider transactions.

5 Points Moderate purchase.

0 Points Token purchase.

A $500,000 purchase from a CEO earning $300,000 annually tells a very different story than the same purchase by a billionaire founder.

Always consider context.

Signal #4: Are Multiple Insiders Buying?

Weight: 15 Points

Cluster buying is one of the strongest predictors of future outperformance.

Score

15 Points Three or more insiders buying.

10 Points Two insiders buying.

0 Points Single insider.

When several executives independently reach the same conclusion at roughly the same time, investors should take notice.

Signal #5: When Did They Buy?

Weight: 10 Points

Timing often reveals management's confidence.

Highest scores go to purchases made:

  • after disappointing earnings;

  • following a financing;

  • after a sharp share price decline;

  • during industry-wide weakness;

  • when investor sentiment is negative.

Buying when everyone else is selling frequently signals genuine conviction.

Signal #6: Existing Insider Ownership

Weight: 10 Points

Investors often overlook this factor.

If management already owns a meaningful percentage of the company, every additional purchase carries greater weight.

Score

10 Points Insiders own more than 20%.

8 Points 10–20%.

5 Points 5–10%.

0 Points Less than 5%.

Executives with significant ownership think like business owners rather than hired managers.

Signal #7: Is Share Dilution Under Control?

Weight: 5 Points

Nothing destroys shareholder value faster than constant dilution.

Even strong insider buying becomes less meaningful if management repeatedly issues stock.

Score

5 Points Share count stable or declining.

3 Points Minimal dilution.

0 Points Frequent equity financings.

The strongest insider signals often come from companies that generate sufficient cash flow to avoid regular equity issuance.

The Insider Scorecard

Signal

Maximum Points

Founder or CEO buying

25

Open-market purchase

20

Meaningful purchase size

15

Cluster buying

15

Opportunistic timing

10

High insider ownership

10

Limited dilution

5

Total

100

How to Interpret the Score

90–100 Points: Exceptional

These opportunities are rare.

Everything is lining up.

This deserves immediate research.

75–89 Points: Very Attractive

Strong insider conviction.

Likely worthy of a position if the business fundamentals support the investment.

60–74 Points: Interesting

Monitor closely.

May warrant additional due diligence or placement on a watchlist.

Below 60

Insider activity alone is unlikely to provide a sufficient edge.

Focus elsewhere.

Putting the Scorecard to Work

The best use of this framework is not to buy stocks simply because insiders are purchasing shares.

Instead, use it to prioritize your research.

Suppose you screen the Canadian market each month and identify twenty companies with insider purchases.

Perhaps only five score above 80.

Those five deserve your immediate attention.

From there, analyze the balance sheet, competitive advantages, valuation, management quality, capital allocation, customer concentration, and long-term growth prospects.

The scorecard narrows the field.

Fundamental analysis makes the final decision.

One Final Filter

There is one additional characteristic that often separates good insider buying from truly exceptional insider buying.

Look for companies where insiders are buying before positive developments become obvious to the market.

This might occur several months before:

  • accelerating revenue growth;

  • improving margins;

  • major contract wins;

  • strategic acquisitions;

  • industry recovery;

  • regulatory approvals; or

  • sustained profitability.

By the time these catalysts appear in quarterly results, much of the upside has often already been captured.

Insiders, however, frequently begin accumulating shares while those improvements are still invisible to outside investors.

That is precisely why insider buying remains one of the most valuable signals available to microcap investors.

Final Thoughts

Microcap investing has always been about uncovering information before it becomes widely recognized.

Meaningful insider buying is one of the few legally disclosed signals that allows investors to observe the actions—not just the words—of the people who know a business best.

When founders are buying, when several insiders are buying together, when purchases are made with personal cash after periods of market pessimism, and when dilution is under control, investors should pay attention.

The filings themselves won't tell you which company will become the next ten-bagger.

But they can tell you where to begin looking.

And in microcap investing, knowing where to look is often half the battle.


Learn more at:

https://smallcapdiscoveries.com/